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The World Through Probabilities

Forecasts

U.S. Congress · 2026 midterms

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  • Democratic House and Senate64.1%
  • Democratic House, Republican Senate31.9%
  • Republican House, Democratic Senate0.4%
  • Republican House and Senate1.2%
  • Unresolved control in at least one chamber2.4%
  • House: Democratic98.3%
  • House: Republican1.7%
  • House: Unresolved<0.1%
  • Senate: Democratic64.5%
  • Senate: Republican33.1%
  • Senate: Unresolved2.4%